Ray Dalio has a point, while BTC has a limited supply, there is no limit to crypto assets (alt coins) supply. I can create RobCoin on the internet right now, if I want. Concerned investors may ask themselves questions like, “what does the infinite supply of crypto assets mean for bitcoin?” or “Will another crypto … More There is only one digital sound money
From the outside digital assets may look like a volcano of hair-raising volatility chaotically bursting from the earth’s surface. But below that surface there are various sources of digital asset returns. In this article I define those sources and provide the models to assess the opportunity set. TLDR: Bitcoin remains the key source of digital … More Digital Asset Return Sources
Gold has been under pressure since hitting All Time Highs (ATH) at $2063/oz. in August 2020. Some view the pull-back as a moment to question the investment outlook for the yellow metal. Many bitcoiners are jumping on the proverbial grave. In this piece I address those questions, compare the current pull-back to historical bull-markets, discuss … More Gold Update: Shaking-out weak hands during multi-year bull-market
The internet has caused profound societal shifts in the past 30 years, but it’s influence isn’t fully realised. In this edition of the Sound Money Monthly I leverage off The Sovereign Individual’s historical analysis of technology. TLDR: A deeper technology-induced social and political regime change is underway, including a neutralisation of ever-growing nation state with … More SMM: (ed.8) Bitcoin – the next step in a tech revolution to the Digital Age
Tesla has announced that it purchased $1.5bn worth of bitcoin in Q4 2020. Bitcoin adoption by a globally renown company is exciting, and it’ll probably trigger the next phase in this bitcoin bull-market, but I’ve got mixed emotions. Bitcoin could be caught in Tesla’s narrative, which is frustrating because there are two distinct assets. Untangling … More Scarce digital tech (tesla) is not digital sound money (bitcoin)
In January 2020 an internet chat group took down a Wall Street hedge and got one back for the little guy in a classic Robinhood story – or so you’re led to believe… While there’s a tinge of truth here, a reverse Robinhood story is on-going and unsound money is at the centre. [Reading time: … More SMM: (ed. 7) When will this Game of reverse Robinhood Stop?
This is a very short note that gets to the essence of the what and why of bitcoin. Bitcoin is an elegant combination of 3 attributes and there are 4 broad groups of people who find it valuable. The 3 key attributes: 1. A digital protocol for exchanging and settling value on the internet Fiat … More What is bitcoin and who needs it?
2020 Sound Money Recap In 2020 we established that “sound money is the challenge and opportunity of our lifetime.” Central banks have pursued aggressively loose monetary policies since the 1970s, trying to solve every problem, social, economic, political or financial, with lower interest rates and debt. They’ve ignored the consequences like deteriorating economic growth, falling … More Sound Money Monthly: (ed. 6) Invest capital into a sound future
2020 has been an unbelievable year. Apart from cementing the importance of relationships and community, bitcoin is the most positive component of a challenging year. 300%+ investment returns are spectacular, but bitcoin is far more important than price appreciation. In this note, I touch on numerous positive aspects of bitcoin, including protecting value in the … More 2021 bitcoin outlook: Hold onto your hats!
Whilst bitcoin demand is variable, bitcoin supply is perfectly known and pre-determined. There will only be 21 million. The architectural design is very unlikely to change. It’s incredible how known supply meets variable demand and results in adoption waves, which centre around the halving*. In this article I detail these waves and explain the psychological … More Adoption Waves: FOMO remains Bitcoin’s #1 Marketing Strategy
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